Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, this book offers a major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary citizens figure out what they favour and oppose politically. Reacting against the conventional wisdom, which stresses how little atte[...]
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are[...]
Half a century since the publication of An American Dilemma, Gunnar Myrdal's seminal work on race in America, this book contributes to a fresh understanding of this dilemma by viewing the issues of race as they are now. 'This extremely important book has a number of strengths: most important, its in[...]