The Risk Pivot

The last decade has seen a revolution in global energy. First, we saw explosive growth in demand from Asia's rising powers, which fueled fears about scarcity and conflict. But we've also seen an American revolution in technology and markets, resulting in a dramatic increase in supply. This is streng [...]
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The last decade has seen a revolution in global energy. First, we saw explosive growth in demand from Asia's rising powers, which fueled fears about scarcity and conflict. But we've also seen an American revolution in technology and markets, resulting in a dramatic increase in supply. This is strengthening America's hand in the world - but it's not without complications. There are major security consequences of these shifts. Among the most consequential are China and India, Asia's emerging giants, which are increasingly exposed to political risks associated with energy risks, as well as the energy flows, pivoting to Asia. Meanwhile the great powers struggle to balance their need for fossil fuels with a mounting effort to tackle climate change. The top powers, and the United States above all, face a strategic choice: whether to use energy as a weapon of geopolitics, or as a tool of a stable order.Contents: Introduction: The President and the King; Key Messages of the Book; The Energy Revolutions; A PrimerGeopolitics in Flux; The Players; Choices; Scenarios, and the Choice the Powers Confront; Rough Seas Ahead; The Great Powers' Search for Energy Security; Globalization and Complexity; The Problems; Transition in the Gulf; The Turbulent Middle; Fragile States; The Russian Problem; Connections - from Pipelines to Politics; Governance - The Partners; An Emerging System of Global Energy Governance; and Leadership Choices.